The Premier League sees Sitra take on Al Ahli on Tuesday 5 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Sitra are 7th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Al Ahli sit 5th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sitra's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat A'Ali 2–0 away. They average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Ahli's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Al Riffa 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Al Ahli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Sitra and 1.3 for Al Ahli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sitra 34%, draw 28%, Al Ahli 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sitra 1–1 Al Ahli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sitra34%fair 2.95 · @2.65
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.10
Al Ahli38%fair 2.62 · @2.50
2.41Expected goals
1.13Sitra xG
1.28Al Ahli xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sitra 1.1 – 1.3 Al Ahli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli to win✓
38%
2.62
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli / FT Al Ahli✓
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.68
–
Form
Sitra – last 5
WLWLL
27 Apr
@ A'Ali
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Muharraq
0–3
L
12 Mar
vs Budaiya
3–0
W
23 Feb
@ Al-Hidd
1–4
L
18 Feb
@ Zakho
1–3
L
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Al Ahli – last 3
LWW
29 Apr
vs Al Riffa
2–3
L
17 Apr
@ Bahrain SC
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al Najma
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sitra and Al Ahli.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sitra vs Al Ahli?
On our numbers Sitra have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Al Ahli 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sitra vs Al Ahli?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sitra vs Al Ahli?
Our predicted score is Sitra 1–1 Al Ahli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sitra vs Al Ahli?
Sitra vs Al Ahli (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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