Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Riffa to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceAl Riffa or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.99
Al Riffa vs Al Shabab preview and prediction
The match
Al Shabab travel to face Al Riffa in the Premier League on Tuesday 5 May (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Al Riffa's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Al Ahli 3–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Shabab's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat Bahrain SC 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Riffa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Al Riffa and 0.8 for Al Shabab. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Riffa 66%, draw 20%, Al Shabab 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al Riffa 2–0 Al Shabab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Riffa66%fair 1.51 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.50
Al Shabab14%fair 7.33 · @11.00
2.72Expected goals
1.91Al Riffa xG
0.82Al Shabab xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Riffa 1.9 – 0.8 Al Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Riffa to win✓
66%
1.51
1.25
Double chance
Al Riffa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Al Riffa ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Riffa / FT Al Riffa✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.99
–
Form
Al Riffa – last 5
WLWWW
29 Apr
@ Al Ahli
3–2
W
24 Apr
@ Muharraq
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs A'Ali
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Muharraq
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Budaiya
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Al Shabab – last 4
WDLW
28 Apr
vs Bahrain SC
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Al Najma
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Muharraq
0–3
L
19 Feb
@ A'Ali
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Riffa and Al Shabab.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Riffa vs Al Shabab?
On our numbers Al Riffa have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Shabab 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al Riffa vs Al Shabab?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Riffa vs Al Shabab?
Our predicted score is Al Riffa 2–0 Al Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al Riffa vs Al Shabab?
Al Riffa vs Al Shabab (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
