The Liga MX sees Cruz Azul take on Atlas on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 04:15 (WAT) at Estadio Azteca. Cruz Azul are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Atlas sit 5th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cruz Azul's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Atlas 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Atlas's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Cruz Azul 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Atlas 2–3 Cruz Azul.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Cruz Azul and 0.7 for Atlas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruz Azul 67%, draw 23%, Atlas 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cruz Azul 2–0 Atlas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruz Azul67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.00
Atlas10%fair 9.82 · @5.50
2.83Expected goals
2.10Cruz Azul xG
0.73Atlas xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.1 – 0.7 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlas 10%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–0 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
Cruz Azul vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 04:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
