Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✗38% · @2.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.39
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva preview and prediction
The match
Shinnik Yaroslavl host Torpedo Moskva in the First League on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion Shinnik. Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th with 26 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Torpedo Moskva sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Ural 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Torpedo Moskva's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Fakel 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 1.0 for Torpedo Moskva. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shinnik Yaroslavl 38%, draw 27%, Torpedo Moskva 35%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.64.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Torpedo Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shinnik Yaroslavl38%fair 2.65 · @2.77
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.79
Torpedo Moskva35%fair 2.84 · @2.78
2.08Expected goals
1.06Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
1.01Torpedo Moskva xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.1 – 1.0 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win✗
38%
2.65
2.77
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.39
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.64
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.54
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.50
–
Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
WDWDDW
4 May
@ Ural
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Fakel
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Enisey
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
DLWDWW
27 Apr
vs Fakel
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Ural
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs KAMAZ
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC UFA
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–1
W
23 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Torpedo Moskva.
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Torpedo Moskva 35%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Shinnik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
