The First League sees Chayka take on Chernomorets on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Chayka Central Stadium.
Form guide
Chayka's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Volga Ulyanovsk 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Chernomorets's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to FK Neftekhimik 0–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Chayka and 1.4 for Chernomorets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Chayka 1–1 Chernomorets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chayka35%fair 2.82 · @2.97
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.35
Chernomorets44%fair 2.30 · @2.25
2.62Expected goals
1.22Chayka xG
1.40Chernomorets xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chayka 1.2 – 1.4 Chernomorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chernomorets to win✓
44%
2.30
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chernomorets / FT Chernomorets✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.83
–
Form
Chayka – last 6
LLWLWL
22 Apr
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Ural
0–5
L
29 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
23 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
2–5
L
7 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chernomorets – last 5
LDLWL
22 Apr
@ FK Neftekhimik
0–4
L
3 Apr
@ Chelyabinsk
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–4
L
7 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chayka and Chernomorets.
What is the prediction for Chayka vs Chernomorets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Chayka vs Chernomorets?
On our numbers Chayka have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chernomorets 44%.
How many goals will there be in Chayka vs Chernomorets?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chayka vs Chernomorets?
Our predicted score is Chayka 1–1 Chernomorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chayka vs Chernomorets?
Chayka vs Chernomorets (First League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Chayka Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fakel0
Ska-khabarovsk0
Rodina Moskva2
Chelyabinsk0