Value bet: Internacional Palmira to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEnvigado to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Envigado vs Internacional Palmira preview and prediction
The match
Envigado host Internacional Palmira in the Primera B on Monday 4 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur. Envigado are 1st with 7 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Internacional Palmira sit 14th on 16 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Envigado's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Tigres FC 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Internacional Palmira's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Quindio 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Envigado and 1.2 for Internacional Palmira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Envigado 41%, draw 24%, Internacional Palmira 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Internacional Palmira to win at 3.35 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Envigado 1–1 Internacional Palmira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Envigado41%fair 2.42 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Internacional Palmira35%fair 2.88 · @3.35
2.53Expected goals
1.33Envigado xG
1.20Internacional Palmira xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Envigado 1.3 – 1.2 Internacional Palmira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Envigado to win✗
41%
2.42
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Envigado / FT Envigado✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Envigado – last 6
WLWLWW
29 Apr
vs Tigres FC
2–0
W
25 Apr
@ Quindio
1–2
L
14 Apr
@ Barranquilla
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Union Magdalena
2–4
L
7 Apr
@ Depor FC
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Real Santander
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Internacional Palmira – last 6
DLWWWW
30 Apr
vs Quindio
0–0
D
25 Apr
@ Tigres FC
0–1
L
18 Apr
vs Popayan
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Union Magdalena
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Orsomarso
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Tigres FC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Envigado and Internacional Palmira.
What is the prediction for Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?
On our numbers Envigado have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Internacional Palmira 35%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?
Our predicted score is Envigado 1–1 Internacional Palmira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?
Envigado vs Internacional Palmira (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
