Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla preview and prediction
The match
Barranquilla travel to Estadio Sierra Nevada in the Primera B on Monday 4 May (22:00 WAT) to face Union Magdalena. Union Magdalena are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Barranquilla sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Union Magdalena's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Bogota FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Barranquilla's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Real Cartagena 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Barranquilla 1–3 Union Magdalena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Union Magdalena and 0.8 for Barranquilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Magdalena 67%, draw 18%, Barranquilla 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 2–0 Barranquilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Magdalena67%fair 1.49 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.10
Barranquilla14%fair 6.95 · @6.75
2.74Expected goals
1.99Union Magdalena xG
0.76Barranquilla xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 2.0 – 0.8 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Barranquilla 14%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 2–0 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?
Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.