Value bet: Barranquilla to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena preview and prediction
The match
Real Cartagena travel to Estadio Romelio Martinez in the Primera B on Monday 27 April (02:30 WAT) to face Barranquilla. Barranquilla are 15th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Real Cartagena sit 3rd on 5 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Barranquilla's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Envigado 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Real Cartagena's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Patriotas 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Barranquilla and 1.4 for Real Cartagena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barranquilla 36%, draw 24%, Real Cartagena 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Barranquilla to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Barranquilla 1–1 Real Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barranquilla36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Real Cartagena41%fair 2.47 · @2.15
2.62Expected goals
1.26Barranquilla xG
1.36Real Cartagena xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.3 – 1.4 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✗
41%
2.47
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Barranquilla – last 6
LWLWDL
14 Apr
vs Envigado
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Real Santander
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Tigres FC
1–3
L
25 Mar
vs Leones FC
3–0
W
16 Mar
vs Bogota FC
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Cartagena – last 6
LWDWDD
14 Apr
@ Patriotas
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Quindio
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Popayan
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Envigado
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barranquilla and Real Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Barranquilla have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Cartagena 41%.
How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?
Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
