Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Bogota FC take on Union Magdalena on Monday 27 April, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Bogota FC are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Union Magdalena sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bogota FC's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Orsomarso 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Union Magdalena's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Internacional Palmira 0–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Union Magdalena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Bogota FC and 1.4 for Union Magdalena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bogota FC 31%, draw 22%, Union Magdalena 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bogota FC 1–1 Union Magdalena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bogota FC31%fair 3.19 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Union Magdalena46%fair 2.16 · @2.25
2.41Expected goals
1.05Bogota FC xG
1.36Union Magdalena xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.0 – 1.4 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
46%
2.16
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.17
–
Form
Bogota FC – last 6
WDWLDL
13 Apr
vs Orsomarso
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Real Soacha
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Envigado
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Quindio
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Tigres FC
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Magdalena – last 6
LWWWLW
13 Apr
vs Internacional Palmira
0–2
L
9 Apr
vs Envigado
4–2
W
30 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Real Santander
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Patriotas
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bogota FC and Union Magdalena.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Magdalena 46%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
