Value bet: CDS Tampico Madero to win @ 2.82 – our chance 42% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCDS Tampico Madero to win ✓42% · @2.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees CA La Paz take on CDS Tampico Madero on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Guaycura. CA La Paz are 1st with 30 points from 15 games (top of the table), while CDS Tampico Madero sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CA La Paz's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to CDS Tampico Madero 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
CDS Tampico Madero's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat CA La Paz 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CDS Tampico Madero arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished CDS Tampico Madero 2–0 CA La Paz. Across their last 2 meetings CA La Paz have won 0, CDS Tampico Madero 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for CA La Paz and 1.4 for CDS Tampico Madero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CA La Paz 36%, draw 22%, CDS Tampico Madero 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: CDS Tampico Madero to win at 2.82 – 42% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: CA La Paz 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CA La Paz36%fair 2.79 · @2.26
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
CDS Tampico Madero42%fair 2.38 · @2.82
2.70Expected goals
1.29CA La Paz xG
1.42CDS Tampico Madero xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 1.3 – 1.4 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CDS Tampico Madero 42%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?
CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
