Value bet: Monarcas to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonarcas to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.60
Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Monarcas take on Mineros de Zacatecas on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Morelos. Monarcas are 3rd with 26 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Mineros de Zacatecas sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Monarcas's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Mineros de Zacatecas 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mineros de Zacatecas's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Monarcas 3–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mineros de Zacatecas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Mineros de Zacatecas 3–0 Monarcas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Monarcas and 0.9 for Mineros de Zacatecas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monarcas 61%, draw 18%, Mineros de Zacatecas 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Monarcas to win at 1.90 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Monarcas 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monarcas61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @3.70
Mineros de Zacatecas22%fair 4.65 · @3.65
2.75Expected goals
1.82Monarcas xG
0.93Mineros de Zacatecas xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Monarcas 1.8 – 0.9 Mineros de Zacatecas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Mineros de Zacatecas 22%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our predicted score is Monarcas 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
