Zacatepec 1948 travel to Estadio Francisco Zarco in the Liga Premier Serie A on Sunday 26 April (02:00 WAT) to face Durango.
Form guide
Durango's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Mineros de Fresnillo 2–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zacatepec 1948's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat FC Santiago 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Durango arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Durango and 0.8 for Zacatepec 1948. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Durango 2–0 Zacatepec 1948. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Durango64%fair 1.55 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @4.40
Zacatepec 194818%fair 5.41 · @9.60
2.75Expected goals
1.90Durango xG
0.85Zacatepec 1948 xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Durango 1.9 – 0.8 Zacatepec 1948 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Durango to win✗
64%
1.55
1.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Half-time result
Durango ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Durango / FT Durango✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.23
–
Form
Durango – last 6
WWDWWW
11 Apr
vs Mineros de Fresnillo
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Reboceros La Piedad
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Cimarrones
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Ensenada
6–0
W
7 Mar
vs UA Zacatecas
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Colima
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zacatepec 1948 – last 3
WLD
19 Apr
@ FC Santiago
3–2
W
12 Apr
@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Atletico Hidalgo
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durango and Zacatepec 1948.
What is the prediction for Durango vs Zacatepec 1948?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Durango vs Zacatepec 1948?
On our numbers Durango have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Zacatepec 1948 18%.
How many goals will there be in Durango vs Zacatepec 1948?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durango vs Zacatepec 1948?
Our predicted score is Durango 2–0 Zacatepec 1948, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Durango vs Zacatepec 1948?
Durango vs Zacatepec 1948 (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Zarco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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