Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca preview and prediction
The match
Real Apodaca travel to face Inter Playa del Carmen in the Liga Premier Serie A on Thursday 23 April (23:00 WAT).
Form guide
Inter Playa del Carmen's last 4: DWDW Most recently they drew with Tecos 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Apodaca's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Zitacuaro 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Inter Playa del Carmen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Inter Playa del Carmen and 1.2 for Real Apodaca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter Playa del Carmen 43%, draw 22%, Real Apodaca 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Inter Playa del Carmen 1–1 Real Apodaca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter Playa del Carmen43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Real Apodaca34%fair 2.90 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.34Inter Playa del Carmen xG
1.16Real Apodaca xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Inter Playa del Carmen 1.3 – 1.2 Real Apodaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter Playa del Carmen to win✗
43%
2.31
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter Playa del Carmen / FT Inter Playa del Carmen✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.06
–
Form
Inter Playa del Carmen – last 4
DWDW
18 Apr
@ Tecos
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Tecos
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Celaya
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Chapulineros
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Real Apodaca – last 3
WDL
24 Mar
@ Zitacuaro
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Lobos ULMX
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter Playa del Carmen and Real Apodaca.
What is the prediction for Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca?
On our numbers Inter Playa del Carmen have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Apodaca 34%.
How many goals will there be in Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca?
Our predicted score is Inter Playa del Carmen 1–1 Real Apodaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca?
Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Celaya2
Cimarrones1