The Liga Premier Serie A sees Celaya take on Cimarrones on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Celaya's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Jaguares de Chiapas 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cimarrones's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Mineros de Fresnillo 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cimarrones arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Celaya and 1.3 for Cimarrones. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Celaya 1–1 Cimarrones. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celaya45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.35
Cimarrones34%fair 2.94 · @2.95
2.80Expected goals
1.52Celaya xG
1.28Cimarrones xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Celaya 1.5 – 1.3 Cimarrones expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celaya to win✓
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celaya / FT Celaya✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
Celaya – last 5
DLDWL
12 Apr
vs Jaguares de Chiapas
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Montañeses
1–5
L
22 Mar
vs Inter Playa del Carmen
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Chapulineros
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Racing de Veracruz
0–4
L
0.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Cimarrones – last 6
DWDWWW
19 Apr
vs Mineros de Fresnillo
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Acatlan
4–0
W
28 Mar
vs Durango
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Reboceros La Piedad
3–2
W
14 Mar
vs Colima
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Los Cabos United
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celaya and Cimarrones.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Celaya vs Cimarrones?
On our numbers Celaya have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cimarrones 34%.
How many goals will there be in Celaya vs Cimarrones?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celaya vs Cimarrones?
Our predicted score is Celaya 1–1 Cimarrones, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Celaya vs Cimarrones?
Celaya vs Cimarrones (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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