Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Lommel United to win @ 1.68 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLommel United to win ✓67% · @1.68
Double chanceLommel United or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Lommel United vs Liège preview and prediction
The match
Liège travel to Soevereinstadion in the Jupiler Pro League on Thursday 23 April (19:30 WAT) to face Lommel United.
Form guide
Lommel United's last 4: LWDL Most recently they lost to Beerschot VA 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Liège's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat AS Eupen 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Liège arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Lommel United and 0.8 for Liège. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lommel United 67%, draw 19%, Liège 14%.
Safer route: Lommel United or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Lommel United to win at 1.68 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lommel United 2–0 Liège. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lommel United67%fair 1.49 · @1.68
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.80
Liège14%fair 7.33 · @4.33
3.00Expected goals
2.15Lommel United xG
0.85Liège xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lommel United 2.1 – 0.8 Liège expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lommel United to win✓
67%
1.49
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Lommel United or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
Lommel United ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lommel United / FT Lommel United✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Lommel United – last 4
LWDL
17 Apr
@ Beerschot VA
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Francs Borains
3–1
W
11 Mar
@ KAA Gent II
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Seraing United
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Liège – last 5
WWDLW
17 Apr
vs AS Eupen
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Olympic Charleroi
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Patro Eisden
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Kortrijk
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Club Brugge II
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lommel United and Liège.
What is the prediction for Lommel United vs Liège?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lommel United vs Liège?
On our numbers Lommel United have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Liège 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lommel United vs Liège?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lommel United vs Liège?
Our predicted score is Lommel United 2–0 Liège, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lommel United vs Liège?
Lommel United vs Liège (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Soevereinstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Patro Eisden1
Beerschot VA1