Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Anderlecht to win @ 3.10 – our chance 41% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAnderlecht to win ✗41% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59
St. Truiden vs Anderlecht preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees St. Truiden take on Anderlecht on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stayen. St. Truiden are 12th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Anderlecht sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
St. Truiden's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Gent 0–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Anderlecht's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Club Brugge KV 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
St. Truiden arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for St. Truiden and 1.5 for Anderlecht. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Truiden 37%, draw 22%, Anderlecht 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Anderlecht to win at 3.10 – 41% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: St. Truiden 1–1 Anderlecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Truiden37%fair 2.71 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.65
Anderlecht41%fair 2.45 · @3.10
2.90Expected goals
1.41St. Truiden xG
1.49Anderlecht xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 1.4 – 1.5 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Anderlecht to win✗
41%
2.45
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Anderlecht / FT Anderlecht✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.59
–
Form
St. Truiden – last 5
DLWWW
19 Apr
@ Gent
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Genk
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Cercle Brugge
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Dender
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Zulte Waregem
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Anderlecht – last 5
LLDWD
6 Apr
@ Club Brugge KV
2–4
L
15 Mar
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Club Brugge KV
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Zulte Waregem
4–2
W
15 Feb
vs RAAL La Louvière
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and Anderlecht.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Anderlecht 41%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 1–1 Anderlecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
St. Truiden vs Anderlecht (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stayen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Liège0
Patro Eisden1
Beerschot VA1