Value bet: Welayta Dicha to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWelayta Dicha to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis preview and prediction
The match
Kedus Giorgis travel to face Welayta Dicha in the Premier League on Thursday 14 May (14:00 WAT). Welayta Dicha are 3rd with 8 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Kedus Giorgis sit 9th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Welayta Dicha's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Arba Minch Kenema 3–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kedus Giorgis's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Mekelle Kenema 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Welayta Dicha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Welayta Dicha and 0.8 for Kedus Giorgis. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Welayta Dicha to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Welayta Dicha 1–0 Kedus Giorgis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Welayta Dicha41%fair 2.42 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.50
Kedus Giorgis33%fair 3.03 · @2.80
1.85Expected goals
1.00Welayta Dicha xG
0.85Kedus Giorgis xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Welayta Dicha 1.0 – 0.8 Kedus Giorgis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welayta Dicha to win✗
41%
2.42
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.35
–
Form
Welayta Dicha – last 6
WWDWLW
10 May
@ Arba Minch Kenema
3–2
W
4 May
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Suhul Shire
1–0
W
14 Apr
vs Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Kedus Giorgis – last 6
WLDLWD
9 May
vs Mekelle Kenema
1–0
W
5 May
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–2
L
1 May
vs Sidama Bunna
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Ethiopia Bunna
1–3
L
21 Apr
vs Adama Kenema
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Welayta Dicha and Kedus Giorgis.
What is the prediction for Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?
On our numbers Welayta Dicha have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kedus Giorgis 33%.
How many goals will there be in Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?
Our predicted score is Welayta Dicha 1–0 Kedus Giorgis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?
Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suhul Shire1