Value bet: Sheger Ketema to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSidama Bunna to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna preview and prediction
The match
Sidama Bunna travel to face Sheger Ketema in the Premier League on Sunday 10 May (11:00 WAT). Sheger Ketema are 12th with 5 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while Sidama Bunna sit 16th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sheger Ketema's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Awassa Kenema 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sidama Bunna's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Ethiopian Medhin 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sidama Bunna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Sheger Ketema and 1.0 for Sidama Bunna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Sheger Ketema to win at 3.35 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Sheger Ketema 1–1 Sidama Bunna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sheger Ketema33%fair 3.06 · @3.35
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.65
Sidama Bunna40%fair 2.49 · @2.25
1.77Expected goals
0.82Sheger Ketema xG
0.95Sidama Bunna xG
38%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 0.8 – 1.0 Sidama Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sidama Bunna to win✗
40%
2.49
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.16
–
Form
Sheger Ketema – last 6
DDWDDL
4 May
@ Awassa Kenema
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Bahardar
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Arba Minch Kenema
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sidama Bunna – last 6
LDWWLW
6 May
vs Ethiopian Medhin
0–1
L
1 May
@ Kedus Giorgis
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
2–0
W
14 Apr
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Mekelakeya
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Suhul Shire
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheger Ketema and Sidama Bunna.
What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sidama Bunna 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 1–1 Sidama Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Sheger Ketema vs Sidama Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arba Minch Kenema2