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Premier League · Ethiopia
1–2
FT

Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi prediction & analysis

51%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNegelle Arsi to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.23

Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi preview and prediction

The match

Welwalo Adigrat Uni host Negelle Arsi in the Premier League on Wednesday 6 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Welwalo Adigrat Uni are 17th with 1 points from 2 games (in the bottom three), while Negelle Arsi sit 1st on 11 points (top of the table).

Form guide

Welwalo Adigrat Uni's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Ethiopia Bunna 4–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Negelle Arsi's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Fasil Ketema 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni and 1.0 for Negelle Arsi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0–0 Negelle Arsi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Welwalo Adigrat Uni33%fair 3.05 · @2.90
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.50
Negelle Arsi40%fair 2.53 · @2.50
1.78Expected goals
0.83Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG
0.95Negelle Arsi xG
49%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%

From our goals model: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.8 – 1.0 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNegelle Arsi to win ✓40%2.532.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.40
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.23–

Form

Welwalo Adigrat Uni – last 6

WLLDDW
30 Apr@ Ethiopia Bunna4–2W
13 Apr@ Mekelle Kenema1–2L
9 Aprvs Welayta Dicha0–1L
5 Apr@ Awassa Kenema2–2D
8 Mar@ Mekelakeya0–0D
3 Marvs Suhul Shire1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Negelle Arsi – last 6

DDDDWL
30 Aprvs Fasil Ketema0–0D
19 Aprvs Hadiya Hosaena1–1D
13 Apr@ Sheger Ketema1–1D
9 Aprvs Ethiopian Medhin1–1D
5 Apr@ Adama Kenema2–1W
15 Marvs Mebrat Hayl0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Negelle Arsi.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi?

On our numbers Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Negelle Arsi 40%.

How many goals will there be in Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi?

Our predicted score is Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0–0 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.