Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.23
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi preview and prediction
The match
Welwalo Adigrat Uni host Negelle Arsi in the Premier League on Wednesday 6 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Welwalo Adigrat Uni are 17th with 1 points from 2 games (in the bottom three), while Negelle Arsi sit 1st on 11 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Welwalo Adigrat Uni's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Ethiopia Bunna 4–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Negelle Arsi's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Fasil Ketema 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni and 1.0 for Negelle Arsi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0–0 Negelle Arsi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Welwalo Adigrat Uni33%fair 3.05 · @2.90
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.50
Negelle Arsi40%fair 2.53 · @2.50
1.78Expected goals
0.83Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG
0.95Negelle Arsi xG
49%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.8 – 1.0 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Negelle Arsi to win✓
40%
2.53
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.23
–
Form
Welwalo Adigrat Uni – last 6
WLLDDW
30 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
4–2
W
13 Apr
@ Mekelle Kenema
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Welayta Dicha
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Awassa Kenema
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Suhul Shire
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Negelle Arsi – last 6
DDDDWL
30 Apr
vs Fasil Ketema
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
13 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Adama Kenema
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Mebrat Hayl
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Negelle Arsi.
What is the prediction for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi?
On our numbers Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Negelle Arsi 40%.
How many goals will there be in Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi?
Our predicted score is Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0–0 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.