Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.38
Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar preview and prediction
The match
Bahardar travel to face Fasil Ketema in the Premier League on Wednesday 6 May (13:00 WAT). Fasil Ketema are 15th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Bahardar sit 7th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Fasil Ketema's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Negelle Arsi 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bahardar's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Suhul Shire 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.6 for Fasil Ketema and 0.7 for Bahardar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 84% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Fasil Ketema 0–0 Bahardar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fasil Ketema33%fair 3.08 · @3.00
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.40
Bahardar38%fair 2.60 · @2.62
1.38Expected goals
0.64Fasil Ketema xG
0.74Bahardar xG
44%Both score
16%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–025%
0–119%
1–016%
1–112%
0–27%
2–05%
From our goals model: Fasil Ketema 0.6 – 0.7 Bahardar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bahardar to win✓
38%
2.60
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.38
–
Form
Fasil Ketema – last 6
DWWDDD
30 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Suhul Shire
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bahardar – last 6
DLDWDW
1 May
vs Suhul Shire
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Sheger Ketema
0–2
L
15 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Adama Kenema
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Mebrat Hayl
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Kedus Giorgis
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fasil Ketema and Bahardar.
What is the prediction for Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
On our numbers Fasil Ketema have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Bahardar 38%.
How many goals will there be in Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 16% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
Our predicted score is Fasil Ketema 0–0 Bahardar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
