Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Kedus Giorgis preview and prediction
The match
Ethiopia Nigd Bank host Kedus Giorgis in the Premier League on Tuesday 5 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Ethiopia Nigd Bank are 4th with 8 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Kedus Giorgis sit 9th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Arba Minch Kenema 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kedus Giorgis's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Sidama Bunna 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Kedus Giorgis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank and 1.0 for Kedus Giorgis. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1–1 Kedus Giorgis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ethiopia Nigd Bank34%fair 2.94 · @2.90
Draw31%fair 3.18 · @2.50
Kedus Giorgis35%fair 2.89 · @2.62
2.17Expected goals
1.12Ethiopia Nigd Bank xG
1.05Kedus Giorgis xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.1 – 1.0 Kedus Giorgis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kedus Giorgis to win✗
35%
2.89
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethiopia Nigd Bank / FT Ethiopia Nigd Bank✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.31
–
Form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank – last 6
DLWDWL
30 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Sidama Bunna
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Mekelle Kenema
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kedus Giorgis – last 6
DLWDWW
1 May
vs Sidama Bunna
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Ethiopia Bunna
1–3
L
21 Apr
vs Adama Kenema
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Mebrat Hayl
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Hadiya Hosaena
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Kedus Giorgis.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Kedus Giorgis?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Kedus Giorgis?
On our numbers Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Kedus Giorgis 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Kedus Giorgis?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Kedus Giorgis?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1–1 Kedus Giorgis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Kedus Giorgis?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Kedus Giorgis (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mekelle Kenema0
Arba Minch Kenema2
Suhul Shire1