Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema preview and prediction
The match
Sheger Ketema travel to face Awassa Kenema in the Premier League on Monday 4 May (14:30 WAT). Awassa Kenema are 11th with 5 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Sheger Ketema sit 12th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Awassa Kenema's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Ethiopian Medhin 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sheger Ketema's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Welayta Dicha 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sheger Ketema arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Awassa Kenema and 0.9 for Sheger Ketema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Awassa Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Awassa Kenema35%fair 2.88 · @2.75
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.50
Sheger Ketema37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
1.79Expected goals
0.88Awassa Kenema xG
0.91Sheger Ketema xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Awassa Kenema 0.9 – 0.9 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheger Ketema to win✗
37%
2.72
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.40
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.55
–
Form
Awassa Kenema – last 6
LDDLDW
29 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–2
D
10 Mar
vs Mekelle Kenema
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sheger Ketema – last 6
DWDDLW
29 Apr
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Bahardar
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Arba Minch Kenema
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Hadiya Hosaena
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Awassa Kenema and Sheger Ketema.
What is the prediction for Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
On our numbers Awassa Kenema have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sheger Ketema 37%.
How many goals will there be in Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
Our predicted score is Awassa Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
