Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank preview and prediction
The match
Ethiopia Nigd Bank travel to face Arba Minch Kenema in the Premier League on Thursday 30 April (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Arba Minch Kenema's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Sidama Bunna 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Arba Minch Kenema and 1.3 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arba Minch Kenema 30%, draw 26%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.20.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arba Minch Kenema 1–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arba Minch Kenema30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.50
Ethiopia Nigd Bank44%fair 2.28 · @2.50
2.23Expected goals
0.97Arba Minch Kenema xG
1.26Ethiopia Nigd Bank xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Arba Minch Kenema 1.0 – 1.3 Ethiopia Nigd Bank expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win✗
44%
2.28
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethiopia Nigd Bank / FT Ethiopia Nigd Bank✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.41
–
Form
Arba Minch Kenema – last 6
DDLWWL
19 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs Hadiya Hosaena
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Adama Kenema
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Mebrat Hayl
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Nigd Bank – last 6
LWDWLL
14 Apr
vs Sidama Bunna
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Mekelle Kenema
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Suhul Shire
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arba Minch Kenema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
What is the prediction for Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
On our numbers Arba Minch Kenema have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 44%.
How many goals will there be in Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Our predicted score is Arba Minch Kenema 1–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Arba Minch Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mekelle Kenema1