Friday, 13 November 2026 5 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Spartak

Spartak Varna

WLWDL
3–0
FT

Lokomotiv Sofia

WDDDW

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSpartak Varna to win ✓66% · @1.60
Double chanceSpartak Varna or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.76

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview and prediction

The match

The First League sees Spartak Varna take on Lokomotiv Sofia on Friday 22 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak. Spartak Varna are 7th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Spartak Varna's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Montana 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Lokomotiv Sofia's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Slavia Sofia 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Spartak Varna 2–2 Lokomotiv Sofia.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Spartak Varna and 0.8 for Lokomotiv Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Spartak Varna 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Spartak Varna66%fair 1.53 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.75
Lokomotiv Sofia14%fair 7.10 · @4.75
2.72Expected goals
1.95Spartak Varna xG
0.77Lokomotiv Sofia xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Spartak Varna 2.0 – 0.8 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Varna to win ✓66%1.531.60
Double chanceSpartak Varna or draw ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.42
Half-time resultSpartak Varna ahead at half-time ✓47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Varna / FT Spartak Varna ✓42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.76–

Form

Spartak Varna – last 6

WLWDLD
18 May@ Montana2–0W
14 May@ Septemvri Sofia0–1L
10 Mayvs Slavia Sofia2–1W
6 Mayvs Dobrudzha1–1D
24 Aprvs Beroe1–2L
16 Apr@ Septemvri Sofia0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6

WDDDWD
18 Mayvs Slavia Sofia2–0W
14 Mayvs Beroe1–1D
9 May@ Montana2–2D
5 Mayvs Botev Vratsa2–2D
1 May@ Dobrudzha3–0W
27 Aprvs Septemvri Sofia1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Spartak Varna v Lokomotiv Sofia2–2
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Slavia Sofia2 Montana0 160%1.55X22%3.80218%5.25 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.35 ✓
FT Botev Vratsa3 Beroe0 136%2.50X23%3.30241%2.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Septemvri Sofia1 Dobrudzha1 169%1.25X19%5.00212%9.50 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lokomotiv Sofia 14%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.