Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✗69% · @1.25
Double chanceSeptemvri Sofia or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Septemvri Sofia take on Dobrudzha on Friday 22 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.
Form guide
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Beroe 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Dobrudzha's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Botev Vratsa 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Septemvri Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Septemvri Sofia and 0.7 for Dobrudzha. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Septemvri Sofia 69%, draw 19%, Dobrudzha 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Septemvri Sofia 2–0 Dobrudzha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Septemvri Sofia69%fair 1.45 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @5.00
Dobrudzha12%fair 8.56 · @9.50
2.63Expected goals
1.98Septemvri Sofia xG
0.65Dobrudzha xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 2.0 – 0.7 Dobrudzha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Septemvri Sofia to win✗
69%
1.45
1.25
Double chance
Septemvri Sofia or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.40
Half-time result
Septemvri Sofia ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Septemvri Sofia / FT Septemvri Sofia✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Form
Septemvri Sofia – last 6
WWDLDD
18 May
@ Beroe
1–0
W
14 May
vs Spartak Varna
1–0
W
10 May
@ Botev Vratsa
1–1
D
6 May
@ Slavia Sofia
1–2
L
1 May
vs Montana
1–1
D
27 Apr
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dobrudzha – last 6
LWDLLL
18 May
vs Botev Vratsa
1–2
L
13 May
@ Slavia Sofia
2–0
W
6 May
@ Spartak Varna
1–1
D
1 May
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ Montana
0–1
L
14 Apr
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and Dobrudzha.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dobrudzha 12%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 2–0 Dobrudzha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha?
Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha (First League) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Montana0
Beroe0