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Today's tips
First League · Bulgaria · Ogosta Stadium

Montana

LDDDW
0–2
FT

Spartak Varna

LWDLD

Montana vs Spartak Varna prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSpartak Varna to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceSpartak Varna or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83

Montana vs Spartak Varna preview and prediction

The match

Spartak Varna travel to Ogosta Stadium in the First League on Monday 18 May (17:30 WAT) to face Montana.

Form guide

Montana's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Botev Vratsa 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Spartak Varna's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Septemvri Sofia 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Spartak Varna 1–0 Montana.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Montana and 1.9 for Spartak Varna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Montana 0–1 Spartak Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Montana14%fair 7.33 · @8.00
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.60
Spartak Varna68%fair 1.46 · @1.33
2.57Expected goals
0.67Montana xG
1.90Spartak Varna xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%

From our goals model: Montana 0.7 – 1.9 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Varna to win ✓68%1.461.33
Double chanceSpartak Varna or draw ✓86%1.161.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.40
Half-time resultSpartak Varna ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Varna / FT Spartak Varna ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.83–

Form

Montana – last 6

LDDDWD
14 May@ Botev Vratsa0–1L
9 Mayvs Lokomotiv Sofia2–2D
5 May@ Beroe2–2D
1 May@ Septemvri Sofia1–1D
27 Aprvs Dobrudzha1–0W
16 Aprvs Slavia Sofia0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Spartak Varna – last 6

LWDLDW
14 May@ Septemvri Sofia0–1L
10 Mayvs Slavia Sofia2–1W
6 Mayvs Dobrudzha1–1D
24 Aprvs Beroe1–2L
16 Apr@ Septemvri Sofia0–0D
10 Aprvs Dobrudzha1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Spartak Varna v Montana1–0
Montana vs Spartak Varna head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Beroe0 Septemvri Sofia1 147%2.40X22%3.20232%2.65 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Dobrudzha1 Botev Vratsa2 166%1.60X22%3.50211%5.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Lokomotiv Sofia2 Slavia Sofia0 164%1.55X23%3.75213%5.25 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montana vs Spartak Varna?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Montana vs Spartak Varna?

On our numbers Montana have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Spartak Varna 68%.

How many goals will there be in Montana vs Spartak Varna?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montana vs Spartak Varna?

Our predicted score is Montana 0–1 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Montana vs Spartak Varna?

Montana vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.