Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Botev Vratsa to win @ 1.70 – our chance 62% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotev Vratsa to win62% · @1.70
Double chanceBotev Vratsa or draw81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.54
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Varna travel to Hristo Botev Stadium in the First League on Saturday 2 May (14:30 WAT) to face Botev Vratsa. Botev Vratsa are 13th with 10 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Spartak Varna sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Botev Vratsa's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Slavia Sofia 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Spartak Varna's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Beroe 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Botev Vratsa and 0.7 for Spartak Varna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Botev Vratsa to win at 1.70 – 62% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Botev Vratsa 1–0 Spartak Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Vratsa62%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.55
Spartak Varna19%fair 5.40 · @4.33
2.39Expected goals
1.66Botev Vratsa xG
0.72Spartak Varna xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.7 – 0.7 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Vratsa to win
62%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Botev Vratsa or draw
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.54
–
Form
Botev Vratsa – last 6
DWLDLL
26 Apr
@ Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
14 Apr
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
3–2
W
10 Apr
@ CSKA 1948
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Septemvri Sofia
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 6
LDWLLL
24 Apr
vs Beroe
1–2
L
16 Apr
@ Septemvri Sofia
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Dobrudzha
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Ludogorets
1–5
L
14 Mar
vs CSKA 1948
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Slavia Sofia
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Spartak Varna 19%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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