Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeroe to win ✓39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.31
Beroe vs Slavia Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Beroe host Slavia Sofia in the First League on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadion Beroe.
Form guide
Beroe's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Spartak Varna 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Slavia Sofia's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Botev Vratsa 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Beroe 0–3 Slavia Sofia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Beroe and 1.2 for Slavia Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Beroe 39%, draw 23%, Slavia Sofia 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Slavia Sofia to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Beroe 1–1 Slavia Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beroe39%fair 2.55 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.35
Slavia Sofia38%fair 2.63 · @3.10
2.44Expected goals
1.23Beroe xG
1.21Slavia Sofia xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Beroe 1.2 – 1.2 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Beroe have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Slavia Sofia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Beroe 1–1 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?
Beroe vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
