Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Montana to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDobrudzha to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.98
Montana vs Dobrudzha preview and prediction
The match
Montana host Dobrudzha in the First League on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Ogosta Stadium.
Form guide
Montana's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Slavia Sofia 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Dobrudzha's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Botev Plovdiv 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Dobrudzha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Dobrudzha 1–0 Montana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Montana and 1.1 for Dobrudzha. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Montana to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Montana 1–1 Dobrudzha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montana37%fair 2.69 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Dobrudzha38%fair 2.66 · @2.30
2.15Expected goals
1.07Montana xG
1.08Dobrudzha xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Montana 1.1 – 1.1 Dobrudzha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Montana vs Dobrudzha?
On our numbers Montana have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dobrudzha 38%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Dobrudzha?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montana vs Dobrudzha?
Our predicted score is Montana 1–1 Dobrudzha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Montana vs Dobrudzha?
Montana vs Dobrudzha (First League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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