Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Al-Nahda to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Nahda to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Bahla vs Al-Nahda preview and prediction
The match
Al-Nahda travel to face Bahla in the Professional League on Monday 18 May (16:20 WAT). Bahla are 6th with 9 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Al-Nahda sit 1st on 13 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Bahla's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Al Nasr 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Al-Nahda's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Al Seeb 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Nahda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.8 for Bahla and 1.5 for Al-Nahda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bahla 24%, draw 21%, Al-Nahda 55%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Al-Nahda to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Bahla 1–1 Al-Nahda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bahla24%fair 4.25 · @3.70
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.10
Al-Nahda55%fair 1.80 · @1.95
2.33Expected goals
0.83Bahla xG
1.50Al-Nahda xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Bahla 0.8 – 1.5 Al-Nahda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nahda to win✗
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nahda / FT Al-Nahda✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.02
–
Form
Bahla – last 6
LDLLLW
13 May
vs Al Nasr
1–3
L
27 Apr
vs Oman Club
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Al Seeb
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Dhofar
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Sur
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Saham
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Nahda – last 6
LLWWWD
14 May
vs Al Seeb
0–4
L
8 May
vs Sohar
0–1
L
4 May
@ Al Nasr
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Smail
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Sohar
2–1
W
6 Apr
vs Oman Club
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bahla and Al-Nahda.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Bahla vs Al-Nahda?
On our numbers Bahla have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al-Nahda 55%.
How many goals will there be in Bahla vs Al-Nahda?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahla vs Al-Nahda?
Our predicted score is Bahla 1–1 Al-Nahda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bahla vs Al-Nahda?
Bahla vs Al-Nahda (Professional League) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 16:20 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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