Value bet: Sohar to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSohar to win ✗46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Smail vs Sohar preview and prediction
The match
Sohar travel to face Smail in the Professional League on Thursday 14 May (16:20 WAT). Smail are 11th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Sohar sit 14th on 5 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Smail's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Oman Club 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Sohar's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Al-Nahda 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sohar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Smail and 1.3 for Sohar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Smail 32%, draw 22%, Sohar 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Sohar to win at 2.40 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Smail 1–1 Sohar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smail32%fair 3.15 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Sohar46%fair 2.18 · @2.40
2.38Expected goals
1.04Smail xG
1.34Sohar xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Smail 1.0 – 1.3 Sohar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sohar to win✗
46%
2.18
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sohar / FT Sohar✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.59
–
Form
Smail – last 6
LLWLLD
5 May
@ Oman Club
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Al-Nahda
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Ibri
3–2
W
10 Apr
vs Al-Shabab
0–7
L
5 Apr
@ Al Seeb
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Dhofar
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sohar – last 6
WWLDWD
8 May
@ Al-Nahda
1–0
W
27 Apr
@ Al Nasr
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Al-Nahda
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Al-Khabourah
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Al Seeb
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Ibri
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smail and Sohar.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Smail vs Sohar?
On our numbers Smail have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sohar 46%.
How many goals will there be in Smail vs Sohar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smail vs Sohar?
Our predicted score is Smail 1–1 Sohar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Smail vs Sohar?
Smail vs Sohar (Professional League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 16:20 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
