Value bet: Al-Shabab to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Shabab to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceAl-Shabab or draw ✗87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Dhofar vs Al-Shabab preview and prediction
The match
The Professional League sees Dhofar take on Al-Shabab on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 15:05 (WAT). Dhofar are 9th with 7 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Al-Shabab sit 2nd on 12 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Dhofar's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Al-Rustaq 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al-Shabab's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Al-Rustaq 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Shabab arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Dhofar and 1.8 for Al-Shabab. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dhofar 13%, draw 26%, Al-Shabab 61%.
Safer route: Al-Shabab or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Al-Shabab to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Dhofar 0–1 Al-Shabab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dhofar13%fair 7.79 · @4.40
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.35
Al-Shabab61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
2.56Expected goals
0.74Dhofar xG
1.82Al-Shabab xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Dhofar 0.7 – 1.8 Al-Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Shabab to win✗
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Al-Shabab or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Al-Shabab ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Shabab / FT Al-Shabab✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.56
–
Form
Dhofar – last 5
LDWLD
16 Apr
vs Al-Rustaq
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Smail
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Bahla
2–1
W
26 Feb
vs Oman Club
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Sohar
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Al-Shabab – last 6
WWLWLW
4 May
vs Al-Rustaq
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Saham
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Al Kuwait
3–5
L
10 Apr
@ Smail
7–0
W
16 Mar
@ Al Nasr
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Sohar
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dhofar and Al-Shabab.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dhofar vs Al-Shabab?
On our numbers Dhofar have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al-Shabab 61%.
How many goals will there be in Dhofar vs Al-Shabab?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dhofar vs Al-Shabab?
Our predicted score is Dhofar 0–1 Al-Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dhofar vs Al-Shabab?
Dhofar vs Al-Shabab (Professional League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:05 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
