Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 1.82 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Torque to win ✓59% · @1.82
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Atletico Torque vs Boston River preview and prediction
The match
Boston River travel to Estadio Centenario in the Primera División Apertura on Friday 24 April (23:30 WAT) to face Atletico Torque. Atletico Torque are 2nd with 28 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Boston River sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Torque's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Cerro 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Boston River's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Cerro Largo 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Atletico Torque and 0.7 for Boston River. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Torque 59%, draw 26%, Boston River 14%.
Safer route: Atletico Torque or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Atletico Torque to win at 1.82 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atletico Torque 1–0 Boston River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Torque59%fair 1.68 · @1.82
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Boston River14%fair 6.90 · @4.20
2.30Expected goals
1.62Atletico Torque xG
0.68Boston River xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.6 – 0.7 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Torque to win✓
59%
1.68
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Torque or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.13
–
Form
Atletico Torque – last 6
DWWLLD
19 Apr
@ Cerro
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ Palestino
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Gremio
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Club Nacional
2–3
L
24 Mar
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Boston River – last 6
WLLWLL
20 Apr
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ Millonarios
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Juventud
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Penarol
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Torque and Boston River.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Boston River?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Boston River?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Boston River 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Boston River?
Atletico Torque vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
