Value bet: SC Freiburg to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Braga to win ✓41% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.13
SC Braga vs SC Freiburg preview and prediction
The match
SC Braga host SC Freiburg in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 30 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
Form guide
SC Braga's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Casa Pia 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SC Freiburg's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with VfB Stuttgart 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
SC Freiburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for SC Braga and 1.2 for SC Freiburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: SC Freiburg to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: SC Braga 1–1 SC Freiburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Braga41%fair 2.45 · @2.34
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
SC Freiburg35%fair 2.89 · @3.10
2.48Expected goals
1.30SC Braga xG
1.17SC Freiburg xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: SC Braga 1.3 – 1.2 SC Freiburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✓
41%
2.45
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.13
–
Form
SC Braga – last 5
WWDWL
23 Apr
@ Casa Pia
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ Real Betis
4–2
W
8 Apr
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Ferencvarosi TC
4–0
W
12 Mar
@ Ferencvarosi TC
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
SC Freiburg – last 6
DWWWWW
23 Apr
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Celta Vigo
3–1
W
9 Apr
vs Celta Vigo
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ FC St. Pauli
2–1
W
19 Mar
vs Genk
5–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Braga and SC Freiburg.
What is the prediction for SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
On our numbers SC Braga have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and SC Freiburg 35%.
How many goals will there be in SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
Our predicted score is SC Braga 1–1 SC Freiburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
SC Braga vs SC Freiburg (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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