Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✗50% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.21
Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC preview and prediction
The match
Charlotte host Atlanta United FC in the US Open Cup on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Bank of America Stadium.
Form guide
Charlotte's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Nashville SC 2–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Atlanta United FC's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to New England Revolution 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Charlotte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.2 for Charlotte and 1.7 for Atlanta United FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte 50%, draw 20%, Atlanta United FC 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Charlotte 2–1 Atlanta United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte50%fair 2.01 · @2.08
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.55
Atlanta United FC30%fair 3.34 · @3.10
3.98Expected goals
2.25Charlotte xG
1.73Atlanta United FC xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–26%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Charlotte 2.2 – 1.7 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✗
50%
2.01
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.45
Half-time result
Charlotte ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.21
–
Form
Charlotte – last 6
LLWWLW
26 Apr
@ Nashville SC
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ Orlando City SC
1–4
L
19 Apr
@ New York City FC
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
6–0
W
12 Apr
vs Nashville SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atlanta United FC – last 6
LLWLLD
23 Apr
vs New England Revolution
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Nashville SC
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Chattanooga
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs DC United
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and Atlanta United FC.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atlanta United FC 30%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 2–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC (US Open Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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