Value bet: Colón to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultColón to win46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.71
Miramar vs Colón preview and prediction
The match
Miramar host Colón in the Segunda División on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Parque Palermo. Miramar are 11th with 33 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Colón sit 3rd on 39 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Miramar's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Oriental 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Miramar and 1.3 for Colón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Miramar 32%, draw 22%, Colón 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Colón to win at 2.50 – 46% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Miramar 1–1 Colón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miramar32%fair 3.16 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Colón46%fair 2.17 · @2.50
2.30Expected goals
1.00Miramar xG
1.30Colón xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Miramar 1.0 – 1.3 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colón to win
46%
2.17
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colón / FT Colón
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
13%
7.71
–
Form
Miramar – last 3
LWL
12 Apr
@ Oriental
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs CA River Plate
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Paysandu
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Colón – last 2
DW
23 Mar
@ Oriental
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Paysandu
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miramar and Colón.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Miramar vs Colón?
On our numbers Miramar have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colón 46%.
How many goals will there be in Miramar vs Colón?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miramar vs Colón?
Our predicted score is Miramar 1–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Miramar vs Colón?
Miramar vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
