Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTacuarembo to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.78
Atenas vs Tacuarembo preview and prediction
The match
Tacuarembo travel to face Atenas in the Segunda División on Saturday 18 April (01:30 WAT). Atenas are 1st with 44 points from 25 games (top of the table), while Tacuarembo sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tacuarembo's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Sportivo Huracan 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Atenas and 1.2 for Tacuarembo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Atenas 1–1 Tacuarembo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atenas35%fair 2.82 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.85
Tacuarembo39%fair 2.59 · @2.80
2.37Expected goals
1.15Atenas xG
1.22Tacuarembo xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.2 – 1.2 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tacuarembo to win✗
39%
2.59
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tacuarembo / FT Tacuarembo✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.78
–
Form
Atenas – last 1
L
1 Apr
vs Uruguay Montevideo
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tacuarembo – last 3
LLD
13 Apr
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Fenix
2–3
L
17 Mar
vs La Luz
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and Tacuarembo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Atenas have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tacuarembo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
Atenas vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
