Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVestri to win ✗67% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Vestri vs Grotta preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Vestri take on Grotta on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass.
Form guide
Vestri's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Fylkir 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Grotta's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Leiknir R. 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Grotta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Vestri and 0.8 for Grotta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 61%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vestri 67%, draw 14%, Grotta 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.35.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.93 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vestri to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vestri 1–0 Grotta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vestri67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw14%fair 7.38 · @4.33
Grotta20%fair 5.11 · @4.10
2.71Expected goals
1.90Vestri xG
0.82Grotta xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vestri 1.9 – 0.8 Grotta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vestri to win✗
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.93 ▲
Half-time result
Vestri ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vestri / FT Vestri✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Form
Vestri – last 4
LLLL
4 May
@ Fylkir
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
0–4
L
18 Feb
@ HK Kopavogur
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Keflavik
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Grotta – last 3
LWW
1 May
vs Leiknir R.
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Álftanes
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs Úlfarnir
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vestri and Grotta.
Our pick is Vestri to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Vestri vs Grotta?
On our numbers Vestri have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Grotta 20%.
How many goals will there be in Vestri vs Grotta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vestri vs Grotta?
Our predicted score is Vestri 1–0 Grotta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vestri vs Grotta?
Vestri vs Grotta (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Iceland · Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass
KA Akureyri1
Ægir2
Fylkir5
FH hafnarfjordur0