Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKA Akureyri to win ✗66% · @1.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.68
KA Akureyri vs Ægir preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees KA Akureyri take on Ægir on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
KA Akureyri's last 4: DLLW Most recently they drew with IA Akranes 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ægir's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to HK Kopavogur 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.8 for KA Akureyri and 1.5 for Ægir. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: KA Akureyri 66%, draw 15%, Ægir 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.62 – 67% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: KA Akureyri 2–1 Ægir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KA Akureyri66%fair 1.51 · @1.22
Draw15%fair 6.54 · @5.75
Ægir19%fair 5.37 · @9.25
4.34Expected goals
2.84KA Akureyri xG
1.50Ægir xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
1–16%
4–15%
From our goals model: KA Akureyri 2.8 – 1.5 Ægir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KA Akureyri to win✗
66%
1.51
1.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.80
Half-time result
KA Akureyri ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KA Akureyri / FT KA Akureyri✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.68
–
Form
KA Akureyri – last 4
DLLW
22 Apr
@ IA Akranes
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Njardvik
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ægir – last 5
LWLLL
1 May
@ HK Kopavogur
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Árbær
7–1
W
7 Mar
@ HK Kopavogur
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Keflavik
1–3
L
17 Feb
@ Stjarnan
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KA Akureyri and Ægir.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win KA Akureyri vs Ægir?
On our numbers KA Akureyri have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ægir 19%.
How many goals will there be in KA Akureyri vs Ægir?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KA Akureyri vs Ægir?
Our predicted score is KA Akureyri 2–1 Ægir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is KA Akureyri vs Ægir?
KA Akureyri vs Ægir (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Iceland
Vestri0
Grotta4
Fylkir5
FH hafnarfjordur0