Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdabasy to win ✓68% · @1.40
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Ordabasy vs Kaspiy preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Ordabasy take on Kaspiy on Thursday 30 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Form guide
Ordabasy's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Akademiya Ontustik 4–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kaspiy's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to FK Tobol Kostanay 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ordabasy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.8 for Ordabasy and 1.2 for Kaspiy. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ordabasy 68%, draw 23%, Kaspiy 9%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ordabasy 2–1 Kaspiy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ordabasy68%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @4.00
Kaspiy9%fair 11.18 · @6.50
3.99Expected goals
2.82Ordabasy xG
1.17Kaspiy xG
55%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Ordabasy 2.8 – 1.2 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Double chance
Ordabasy or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Ordabasy ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Form
Ordabasy – last 3
WWW
8 Apr
@ Akademiya Ontustik
4–2
W
20 Mar
vs Kaisar
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Zhenys
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kaspiy – last 6
LWLDLL
26 Apr
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Ekibastuz
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Altay
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Okzhetpes
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ordabasy and Kaspiy.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kaspiy 9%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?
Our predicted score is Ordabasy 2–1 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?
Ordabasy vs Kaspiy (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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