Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultYelimay Semey to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 15.03
Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey preview and prediction
The match
Yelimay Semey travel to Koblandy Batyr Stadium in the Cup on Thursday 30 April (15:00 WAT) to face Aktobe.
Form guide
Aktobe's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Zhenys 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Yelimay Semey's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Kairat Almaty 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Yelimay Semey arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.1 for Aktobe and 2.4 for Yelimay Semey. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aktobe 2–2 Yelimay Semey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aktobe34%fair 2.95 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Yelimay Semey43%fair 2.34 · @2.45
4.50Expected goals
2.13Aktobe xG
2.37Yelimay Semey xG
65%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–27%
2–16%
1–16%
2–36%
1–35%
From our goals model: Aktobe 2.1 – 2.4 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yelimay Semey to win✗
43%
2.34
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Yelimay Semey ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yelimay Semey / FT Yelimay Semey✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
15.03
–
Form
Aktobe – last 6
LWDLWL
19 Apr
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Arys
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ Ulytau
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Kairat Almaty
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
4–1
W
21 Feb
@ FC Sochi
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Yelimay Semey – last 5
DWWDD
26 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Turan Turkistan
4–1
W
4 Apr
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Altay
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Okzhetpes
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aktobe and Yelimay Semey.
What is the prediction for Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
On our numbers Aktobe have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yelimay Semey 43%.
How many goals will there be in Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
Our predicted score is Aktobe 2–2 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Koblandy Batyr Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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