Value bet: TSC Backa Topola to win @ 1.66 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTSC Backa Topola to win ✗66% · @1.66
Double chanceTSC Backa Topola or draw ✗90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.34
TSC Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani preview and prediction
The match
Mladost Lucani travel to TSC Arena in the Super Liga on Monday 27 April (18:00 WAT) to face TSC Backa Topola.
Form guide
TSC Backa Topola's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 4–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Mladost Lucani's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Radnicki 1923 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
TSC Backa Topola arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Mladost Lucani 1–3 TSC Backa Topola.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for TSC Backa Topola and 0.6 for Mladost Lucani. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: TSC Backa Topola to win at 1.66 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: TSC Backa Topola 1–0 Mladost Lucani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TSC Backa Topola66%fair 1.52 · @1.66
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Mladost Lucani10%fair 9.80 · @4.90
2.46Expected goals
1.85TSC Backa Topola xG
0.61Mladost Lucani xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: TSC Backa Topola 1.8 – 0.6 Mladost Lucani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for TSC Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win TSC Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani?
On our numbers TSC Backa Topola have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mladost Lucani 10%.
How many goals will there be in TSC Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSC Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani?
Our predicted score is TSC Backa Topola 1–0 Mladost Lucani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is TSC Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani?
TSC Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani (Super Liga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at TSC Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Javor4
Napredak0
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV0