Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJavor to win ✓70% · @1.46
Double chanceJavor or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Javor vs Napredak preview and prediction
The match
Napredak travel to Stadion Kraj Moravice in the Super Liga on Monday 27 April (17:00 WAT) to face Javor.
Form guide
Javor's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Radnicki NIS 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Napredak's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to IMT Novi Beograd 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Javor and 0.6 for Napredak. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Javor 70%, draw 19%, Napredak 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Javor to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.46, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Javor 2–0 Napredak. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Javor70%fair 1.42 · @1.46
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.95
Napredak10%fair 9.70 · @6.50
2.63Expected goals
2.01Javor xG
0.62Napredak xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Javor 2.0 – 0.6 Napredak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Javor to win✓
70%
1.42
1.46
Double chance
Javor or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Javor ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Javor / FT Javor✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.85
–
Form
Javor – last 5
LLLDL
23 Apr
@ Radnicki NIS
2–3
L
8 Apr
vs Železničar Pančevo
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Radnicki NIS
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Mladost Lucani
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ IMT Novi Beograd
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Napredak – last 6
LLLLDL
23 Apr
vs IMT Novi Beograd
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ TSC Backa Topola
1–4
L
8 Apr
@ Mladost Lucani
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs TSC Backa Topola
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs OFK Beograd
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ FK Crvena Zvezda
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Javor and Napredak.
Our pick is Javor to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Javor vs Napredak?
On our numbers Javor have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Napredak 10%.
How many goals will there be in Javor vs Napredak?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Javor vs Napredak?
Our predicted score is Javor 2–0 Napredak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Javor vs Napredak?
Javor vs Napredak (Super Liga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kraj Moravice.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
IMT Novi Beograd2
Radnicki NIS0
Radnicki 19234
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV0
TSC Backa Topola1
Mladost Lucani2