Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Rotor Volgograd to win @ 2.89 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRotor Volgograd to win ✗40% · @2.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.02
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Arsenal Tula take on Rotor Volgograd on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadion Arsenal. Arsenal Tula are 12th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Rotor Volgograd sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arsenal Tula's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Chelyabinsk 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rotor Volgograd's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rodina Moskva 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Rotor Volgograd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Arsenal Tula and 1.2 for Rotor Volgograd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tula 35%, draw 26%, Rotor Volgograd 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.02.
Value angle: Rotor Volgograd to win at 2.89 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Rotor Volgograd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tula35%fair 2.90 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.93
Rotor Volgograd40%fair 2.52 · @2.89
2.23Expected goals
1.06Arsenal Tula xG
1.16Rotor Volgograd xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.1 – 1.2 Rotor Volgograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotor Volgograd to win✗
40%
2.52
2.89 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.02
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.13
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.95
–
Form
Arsenal Tula – last 6
DLWWLL
22 Apr
vs Chelyabinsk
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Fakel
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Ural
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
WWWWWD
22 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva
2–0
W
18 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs FK Neftekhimik
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Chernomorets
4–1
W
20 Mar
vs Fakel
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Ural
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and Rotor Volgograd.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rotor Volgograd 40%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Rotor Volgograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?
Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd (First League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
