Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.66
Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors preview and prediction
The match
Boca Juniors travel to Estadio Marcelo Bielsa in the Copa Argentina on Friday 17 July (01:45 WAT) to face Sarmiento Junin.
Form guide
Sarmiento Junin's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Tigre 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Boca Juniors's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Atletico Paranaense 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sarmiento Junin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.5 for Sarmiento Junin and 1.4 for Boca Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Boca Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Junin14%fair 7.37 · @5.80
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.35
Boca Juniors60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
1.86Expected goals
0.48Sarmiento Junin xG
1.38Boca Juniors xG
46%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–121%
0–016%
0–215%
1–110%
1–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 0.5 – 1.4 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Double chance
Boca Juniors or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
21%
4.66
–
Form
Sarmiento Junin – last 6
WLLWWL
25 Apr
vs Tigre
1–0
W
20 Apr
@ Rosario Central
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barracas Central
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ River Plate
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 6
WLDDLL
9 Jul
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–0
W
29 May
vs U. Catolica
0–1
L
20 May
vs Cruzeiro
1–1
D
9 May
vs Huracan
1–1
D
6 May
@ Barcelona SC
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Cruzeiro
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Junin and Boca Juniors.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Boca Juniors 60%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors?
Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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