Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Celtic to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeltic to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓89% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Motherwell vs Celtic preview and prediction
The match
Motherwell host Celtic in the Premiership on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Fir Park. Motherwell are 9th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Celtic sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Celtic's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Rangers 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Motherwell and 2.1 for Celtic. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Value angle: Celtic to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celtic or draw – a 89% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Motherwell 0–2 Celtic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motherwell11%fair 8.95 · @4.40
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
Celtic66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
2.92Expected goals
0.80Motherwell xG
2.12Celtic xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Motherwell 0.8 – 2.1 Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celtic to win✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Celtic or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.57
Half-time result
Celtic ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celtic / FT Celtic✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Form
Motherwell – last 2
LW
18 Feb
@ Aberdeen
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Aberdeen
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Celtic – last 6
WWDWLW
10 May
vs Rangers
3–1
W
3 May
@ Hibernian
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs ST Mirren
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Dundee
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Dundee Utd
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Aberdeen
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motherwell and Celtic.
Our pick is Celtic or draw with a 89% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Motherwell vs Celtic?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celtic 66%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs Celtic?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Celtic?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 0–2 Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs Celtic?
Motherwell vs Celtic (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
