Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk preview and prediction
The match
Heart Of Midlothian host Falkirk in the Premiership on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Tynecastle Park. Heart Of Midlothian are 4th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Falkirk sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Heart Of Midlothian's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Rangers 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Falkirk's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Rangers 3–6 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Heart Of Midlothian arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Falkirk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.8 for Falkirk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heart Of Midlothian 68%, draw 17%, Falkirk 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 Falkirk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heart Of Midlothian68%fair 1.46 · @1.42
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @4.40
Falkirk14%fair 7.06 · @7.30
2.85Expected goals
2.07Heart Of Midlothian xG
0.78Falkirk xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 2.1 – 0.8 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Falkirk 14%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
