Value bet: Dundee to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKilmarnock to win ✓46% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Kilmarnock vs Dundee preview and prediction
The match
Kilmarnock host Dundee in the Premiership on Tuesday 12 May, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock are 12th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Dundee sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Dundee's last 4: LLDW Most recently they lost to Dundee Utd 0–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Kilmarnock and 1.3 for Dundee. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Dundee to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kilmarnock46%fair 2.17 · @2.02
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Dundee33%fair 3.00 · @3.40
2.80Expected goals
1.54Kilmarnock xG
1.26Dundee xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.5 – 1.3 Dundee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kilmarnock to win✓
46%
2.17
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kilmarnock / FT Kilmarnock✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Form
Kilmarnock – last 2
DL
21 Feb
@ Dundee Utd
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Celtic
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dundee – last 4
LLDW
26 Apr
@ Dundee Utd
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Celtic
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Dundee Utd
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Aberdeen
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kilmarnock and Dundee.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dundee 33%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
Kilmarnock vs Dundee (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Livingston0