ST Mirren travel to Pittodrie Stadium in the Premiership on Tuesday 12 May (19:45 WAT) to face Aberdeen. Aberdeen are 11th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while ST Mirren sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aberdeen's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Livingston 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
ST Mirren's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Celtic 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Aberdeen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Aberdeen and 1.1 for ST Mirren. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aberdeen 45%, draw 21%, ST Mirren 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Aberdeen 1–1 ST Mirren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aberdeen45%fair 2.24 · @2.28
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
ST Mirren34%fair 2.91 · @2.95
2.48Expected goals
1.35Aberdeen xG
1.13ST Mirren xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 1.3 – 1.1 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aberdeen to win✗
45%
2.24
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aberdeen / FT Aberdeen✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Form
Aberdeen – last 6
DLDLWL
1 May
@ Livingston
2–2
D
4 Mar
vs Celtic
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Dundee Utd
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Dundee
2–3
L
18 Feb
vs Motherwell
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Motherwell
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ST Mirren – last 3
DLL
19 Apr
@ Celtic
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Rangers
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Dundee Utd
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aberdeen and ST Mirren.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ST Mirren 34%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 1–1 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
Aberdeen vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Livingston0