Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: CS Chebba to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEM Mahdia to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.22
EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba preview and prediction
The match
CS Chebba travel to face EM Mahdia in the Ligue 2 on Monday 13 April (15:00 WAT). EM Mahdia are 2nd with 17 points from 7 games (in the top four), while CS Chebba sit 5th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
EM Mahdia's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with AS Agareb 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CS Chebba's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat CS Hammam-Lif 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CS Chebba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for EM Mahdia and 1.0 for CS Chebba. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: EM Mahdia 40%, draw 26%, CS Chebba 34%.
Value angle: CS Chebba to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: EM Mahdia 1–0 CS Chebba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
EM Mahdia40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80
CS Chebba34%fair 2.93 · @3.50
2.06Expected goals
1.09EM Mahdia xG
0.97CS Chebba xG
45%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: EM Mahdia 1.1 – 1.0 CS Chebba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EM Mahdia to win✗
40%
2.50
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EM Mahdia / FT EM Mahdia✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.22
–
Form
EM Mahdia – last 6
DDLLDD
5 Apr
@ AS Agareb
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Sfax Railways
0–0
D
23 Mar
@ Ajim Djerba
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ M'saken
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Bouselem
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ BS Bouhajla
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CS Chebba – last 5
WLWLL
5 Apr
vs CS Hammam-Lif
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Kerkennah
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Menzel Bourguiba
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ US Tataouine
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Mégrine
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EM Mahdia and CS Chebba.
What is the prediction for EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba?
On our numbers EM Mahdia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CS Chebba 34%.
How many goals will there be in EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba?
Our predicted score is EM Mahdia 1–0 CS Chebba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba?
EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bouselem1
ES Hammam-Sousse3
Menzel Bourguiba0
CS Hammam-Lif3